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NEWS

U.S. jobless rate drops to 8.3 percent

Friday, February 3, 2012
(Updated 1:19 pm)

WASHINGTON (AP) — In the most impressive surge for the job market since early last year, the United States added 243,000 jobs in January, far more than economists expected. The unemployment rate dropped to 8.3 percent, the lowest in three years.

Hiring accelerated across the economy and up and down the pay scale. The high-salary professional services industry added 70,000 jobs, the most in 10 months. Manufacturing added 50,000, the most in a year.

"This is a very positive employment report from almost any angle," said Brian Bethune, an economics professor at Amherst College.

The report could enhance President Barack Obama's hopes for re-election, which is turning on the health of the economy. The unemployment rate is the lowest since February 2009, one month after Obama took office.

Obama got a fresh talking point in the report as he works to persuade voters that his solutions for the nation's job woes are working and to give him four more years to turn the economy around completely.

His Republican foes were quick to use the new numbers to argue that the pace of change wasn't swift enough.

"We can do better," said GOP front-runner Mitt Romney, who added: "These numbers cannot hide the fact that President Obama's policies have prevented a true economic recovery."

Money poured into the stock market, already off to its best start in 15 years because of improving confidence in the economy, and out of more conservative investments in bonds.

The Dow Jones industrial average shot 150 points higher to 12,855 and appeared headed for its highest close since the spring before the 2008 financial crisis. The Nasdaq composite index was within reach of its highest close since 2000.

The 243,000 jobs added far exceeded the estimate by economists of 155,000, according to FactSet, a provider of financial data. Other economist estimates were even lower.

It was the most jobs created since April of last year, when 251,000 jobs were created. Before last spring, the last month with stronger hiring, excluding temporary hiring for the census, was March 2006 — almost two years before the Great Recession.

Hiring was stronger in November and December by 60,000 jobs than first estimated. It was also stronger over the past two years than previously thought. The economy added 1.82 million jobs last year, nearly twice as many as in 2010.

The unemployment rate came down two notches from the 8.5 percent in December. It was also the fifth consecutive month the rate has fallen, the first time that has happened since late 1994.

The government uses a survey of mostly large companies and government agencies to determine how many jobs were added or lost each month. It uses a separate survey of households to determine the unemployment rate.

The household survey had more encouraging news: 631,000 people said they found work in January. That pushed the number of unemployed down to 12.8 million, the fewest in three years.

And a quarter-million people streamed back into the work force and started looking for jobs. Because people are counted as unemployed only if they are looking for work, that makes the drop in the unemployment rate all the more impressive.

Economists said it was probably less likely that the Federal Reserve would take additional steps to help the economy anytime soon, as some investors have expected. The Fed has already held interest rates near zero for three years and bought almost $2 trillion in government bonds and other securities to keep long-term rates low.

Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke said last week that the central bank planned to keep rates near zero at least until late 2014. But if the unemployment rate keeps coming down, that date could be moved up, several economists said.

In Arlington, Va., Obama pointed out that the economy had added 3.7 million private sector jobs over the past 23 months. He acknowledged there were still too many Americans out of work, or working only part-time.

"But the economy is growing stronger," Obama said. "The recovery is speeding up. We've got to do everything in our power to keep it going. We can't go back to the policies that led to the recession, and we can't let Washington stand in the way of the recovery."

The president called on congressional Republicans to extend a 2-percentage-point cut in the Social Security payroll tax. The cut, put in place at the beginning of 2011, will expire Feb. 29 unless Congress acts.

Eleven million people are either working part-time but would prefer full-time work, or have stopped searching for jobs. When those people are added to the 12.8 million unemployed, nearly 24 million are considered "underemployed." The so-called "underemployment" rate edged down in January to 15.1 percent, from 15.2 percent.

Employers have added an average of 201,000 jobs a month in the past three months. That's 50,000 more jobs per month than the economy averaged in each month last year.

The Labor Department's January jobs report was filled with other encouraging data and revisions. The economy added 200,000 more jobs in 2011 than first thought.

The unemployment rate is nearly a percentage point lower than over the summer, when many feared a recession was imminent.

Impressively, the job gains last month were spread across the economy. Even the beleaguered construction sector added 21,000 jobs, its second month of strong gains. That figure has probably been helped by unseasonably warm weather this winter.

The leisure and hospitality industry, which includes restaurants and hotels, added 44,000 jobs. Retailers added nearly 11,000. Government cut 14,000 jobs, while the private sector added 257,000.

More jobs and higher incomes should help consumers boost spending and increase economic growth.

Even with the gains, the job market faces a long way back to full health. The nation has about 5.6 million fewer jobs than it did when the recession began in late 2007.

There was other good economic news Friday. A private trade group said U.S. service companies, including retailers, hotels and restaurants, expanded at the fastest pace in nearly a year in January. The survey's employment index soared to its highest level in nearly six years.

Another report showed that factory orders rose in December by 1.1 percent, driven higher by big increases in spending on industrial machinery and autos.

They follow several reports signaled this week that the economy is steadily improving. Manufacturers expanded at the fastest pace in seven months in January, a private survey showed.

And fewer people sought unemployment benefits last week, the Labor Department said. The four-week average of applications fell to its second-lowest level since June 2008. The drop shows that companies are cutting fewer jobs, which usually leads to more hiring.

Americans spent more at big chain retail stores last month compared with a year earlier. And automakers began 2012 with a strong sales gain in January. Healthier auto sales can boost a range of companies, from steel makers to parts suppliers to shippers.

Some analysts are getting more optimistic about growth this year. Jennifer Lee, an economist at BMO Capital Markets, says she now expects the economy to expand at a 2.5 percent annual pace in the first quarter, up from an earlier estimate of 2 percent.

The economy expanded at a 2.8 percent annual pace in the October-December quarter, a full percentage point higher than in the previous quarter.

Growth could still slow later this year. Much of the fourth quarter's expansion was due to companies ordering more goods to restock their warehouses. Restocking is likely to slow in the first three months of this year. That would drag on growth.

Europe's financial crisis could also slow demand for U.S. goods. And average wages failed to keep up with inflation last year. That leaves consumers with less spending power, which can hamper growth.

Accompanying Photos

The Associated Press

Photo Caption: An auto worker assembles parts on the 2013 Dodge Dart at the Chrysler Plant in Belvidere, Ill., Thursday, Feb. 2, 2012. Sergio Marchionne, Chairman and CEO Chrysler Group, announced that Chrysler will add a third shift at the Belvidere Plant to begin prod...

Comments

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thinkingman

February 3, 2012 - 10:27 am EST

I remember after the positive jobs report in December, many were saying that those were seasonal jobs and the unemployment rate would shoot back up after the holidays. That seemed like a plausible explanation...I'm glad to see that it wasn't the case. Hopefully this trend continues!

itsjustron

February 3, 2012 - 10:37 am EST

I was one who said that I had hoped it would stay low, or even go lower, however I wouldnt be surprised if it raised again.. SO.. Im glad, that I was suprised.. in a positive way!

uncg_grad

February 3, 2012 - 12:03 pm EST

I also heard several people say that the growth was only seasonal. I am so glad that they were wrong, at least for now.

infolit

February 3, 2012 - 10:30 am EST

The president's re-election is looking better and better while the GOP candidate can't keep the barrel pointed away from his shoe.

itsjustron

February 3, 2012 - 10:37 am EST

L.. I think at this point the barrels pointing back at them!

JoeScott

February 3, 2012 - 10:39 am EST

That's Obama, baby!

Actually, I do not think Obama is the sole cause of the job creation. However, since he receives the bulk of the blame for all negative news on the national, state, county, city, and even global level, I figured I would make things fair by spinning this bit of positive news in his favor.

infolit

February 3, 2012 - 12:16 pm EST

Amen. Why won't conservative commentators give credit where credit is due? They only want to engage in the blame game, but never offer any praise when something positive takes place. So sick of the negativity being generated by the Right. It's constant and unrelenting. Why anyone would want to be affiliated with such a negative party is beyond me.

RonaldusMagnus

February 3, 2012 - 10:51 am EST

Predictably, the mainsteam media(including N&R) will do its best to prop up this failing president just in time for 2012 elections. It is very enlightning that no where in this article or the mainstream media do you hear that the labor force has shrunk by a record 1.2 million, biggest monthly drop in history. At least now we have alternative sources for news available, not just biased propaganda from fading traditional news sources.
http://www.zerohedge.com/news/record-12-million-people-fall-out-labor-fo...

infolit

February 3, 2012 - 12:17 pm EST

And of course it's convenient for you not to mention the fact that this president was handed a virtual depression. Keep spinning your top, buddy.

rmacz

February 3, 2012 - 12:56 pm EST

O'bummer did make the economy worse. That's not spin. The underemployed is still bad at 15.1 %, or 24 million people. The Article does not say anything about debt or inflation getting worse. Again, that's not spin.

thinkingman

February 3, 2012 - 1:44 pm EST

The article isn't about debt, or inflation. It's about newly released employment data for the month of January 2012. That's clear from reading it, and it covers that limited topic accurately.

There have been plenty of print articles, interviews, opinion pieces, and news shows focused on the poor state of our economy, so it seems odd to me that you think these topics are underrepresented in the media. It's a fine talking point but is it really true?

rmacz

February 3, 2012 - 2:36 pm EST

My comment was a response to the political ramifications, not entirely the Article...so what, I even stated that. Yes, what I said was true, and can be backed up.
http://finance.yahoo.com/news/figures-government-spending-debt-201733446...
http://www.cnbc.com/id/44942965

And, as a sidebar, your source of oil from CBS, was a low ball figure.

Waldo Leidecker

February 3, 2012 - 1:01 pm EST

I expect there will be much weeping and gnashing of teeth in Republinaziland over the improvement in the economy. Being professional obstructionists this won't look good on their GOP (Greed Over Patriotism) resume!

rmacz

February 3, 2012 - 7:53 pm EST

Greed...ha!....it's not the GOP that tax and spends, and says we're doing something.

The Article said we have 5.6 fewer jobs than when O'bummer took office.

O'bummer ( the community organizer ) now has a record to run against.

goodtoknow

February 3, 2012 - 1:11 pm EST

As I posted earlier in another article....The CBO(Congressional Budget Office) reported this week to Congress:

2012 annual growth rate......2.0% unemployment this fall est. at 8.9%
2013 annual growth rate......1.9% Unemployment in 2013 est. at 9.5%

goodtoknow

February 3, 2012 - 1:15 pm EST

Also when they cut defense spending and bring home the troops there will be more unemployment. Not just the troops but employees of manufacturing companies that have defense contracts.

thinkingman

February 3, 2012 - 1:46 pm EST

The economy should not be used as a justification to keep the war machine going. However, that is a valid concern and one I've wondered about myself. I'll be interested to see if anyone has a plan to reintegrate our returnng soldiers. The last thing they need after coming home is to have to worry about unemployment.

HotRodLincoln

February 5, 2012 - 3:44 am EST

ROFLOL, it must really be painful to be a hot Republican right now. Not only has he cleaned up the middle east with the help of Hilliary Clinton but now it appears Obama has turned the economy around too. I hear their wails of denial loud and clear, LOL!!!

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