GREENSBORO — The 2012 State of the City report, released today by The Greensboro Partnership, describes local conditions as “less than robust.”
By now, the phrase should have developed a familiar ring.
“I have used that nearly every year,” said Keith Debbage, a professor of urban geography at UNCG, who prepared the report.
“Essentially, that has been an ongoing headline.”
Debbage stressed that he would change his thesis line whenever the local economy recovers.
But “Greensboro continues to struggle,” the report said.
Unemployment remains high; one in five people live in poverty; and median earnings and per capita income have declined significantly.
“It’s not pretty,” Pat Danahy, president and CEO of The Greensboro Partnership, said of the report. “I don’t disagree with it.”
But he and Debbage also expressed a note of optimism.
“The recovery, though fledgling, is beginning to take hold,” Debbage said. “There are some silver linings.”
According to the report:
- “A manufacturing renaissance” that includes high-paying jobs is under way.From 2009 to 2010, the most recent year for which data is available, the city experienced a 0.4 percent increase in the percentage of workers employed in manufacturing, long a staple in the city’s economy.What’s more, manufacturing wages increased 5.3 percent — to more than $54,000 — from 2009 to 2010,
- Efforts to attract young professionals between the ages of 20 and 34 “may be bearing fruit.”
- Between 2006 and 2010, the number of people in that demographic increased a full percentage point, to 24.8 percent,
- The high school dropout rate remained one of the lowest in the state for major urban systems, declining from 3.13 percent in 2008-2009 to 2.81 percent the following year.
- The county’s infant mortality rate decreased from 10.4 per 1,000 live births in 2009 to 9.5 in 2010,
- The teen pregnancy rate declined from 49.9 per 1,000 females aged 15-19 in 2009 to 41.7 in 2010.The report called that “a substantive drop and part of a long-term downward trend.”
- The city experienced a positive population growth rate, increasing 20.4 percent from 2000 to 2010, But that performance lags behind other major cities in the state, including Raleigh (46.3 percent), Charlotte (35.2 percent), Winston-Salem (23.6 percent) and Durham (22.1 percent.)
“We are by no means a community in crisis,” Debbage said of the findings. “I have never believed that.”
But the city does have its share of problems. They include:
- A 2010 poverty rate that remained painfully high at 20.1 percent,
- A county tax base that remained stagnant, increasing a modest 0.5 percent from $36.6 billion in 2009-2010 to $36.8 billion in 2010-2011,
- Median earnings that fell to less than $24,000 in 2010, a drop of 8.6 percent, That compares to increases of 3.7 percent in Winston-Salem and 2.6 percent in Charlotte,
Debbage said he anticipates better numbers ahead.
“I’m optimistic that next year’s report will indicate a turning of the course for our community,” Debbage said. “You are beginning to see signs of that already.”
Contact Donald W. Patterson at 373-7027 or don.patterson@news-record.com