North Carolina’s unemployment rate jumped to 10.4 percent in August, the third monthly increase in a row and the highest figure in more than a year.
In addition, the share of adults with a job last month fell to a 35-year low.
“The economy is just about dead in the water,” said Don Jud, professor emeritus at UNCG’s Bryan School of Business and Economics. “But I am not willing to conclude that (it) is totally dead.”
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday that North Carolina was one of 11 states that experienced an increase in its unemployment rate year over year.
In August 2010, the state’s unemployment rate stood at 10.1 percent.
The federal government also said the state’s 0.3 percentage point increase in the jobless rate last month was the second highest in the nation.
Illinois and Pennsylvania saw their jobless rates increase by 0.4 percentage points.
“Over the course of the year, we have been roughly between 9.8 percent and 10.1 percent until this month,” Larry Parker, a spokesman with the Employment Security Commission of North Carolina, said of the state’s unemployment rate. “We have not seen much change.”
The August rate was the highest since June 2010, when 10.5 percent of the labor force didn’t have a job.
“North Carolina remains mired in a severe job crisis — a crisis that only has worsened in recent months,” John Quinterno, a principal with South by North Strategies in Chapel Hill, wrote in his monthly jobs report. “There exist few signs that any recovery is under way.”
In August, Quinterno said, only 55.3 percent of working-age Tar Heels had a job. That’s the lowest total since 1976.
“What this suggests is that there are an awful lot of people whose talents are not being utilized by the labor market,” Quinterno said in an interview. “This is sort of idle human capacity.”
The highest rate ever, Quinterno said, was 66.8 percent, which came during several months in 1989 and 1990.
Since the recession began in December 2007, the state has lost 289,300 positions, or 6.9 percent of its payroll base.
But not all the August numbers portended gloom.
“There is a glimmer of hope,” Jud said.
He pointed out that the state added 16,500 jobs last month, the second-largest increase in the country behind Minnesota, and a 0.4 percent increase.
“That’s a reasonably strong jump for one month,” Jud said.
In August, after three consecutive months of employment declines, Jud feared North Carolina had slipped back into a recession. Now, the latest numbers ease those concerns somewhat.
He also liked the fact that nearly 3,900 of last month’s new jobs came in the professional and business services sector.
“That’s a good omen,” Jud said. “Most of that is small business. We all know that small business is the most dynamic sector of our economy.”
Contact Donald W. Patterson at 373-7027 or don.patterson@news-record.com
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