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OPINION

Charles Davenport Jr.: Observations from the Flat Earth Society

Sunday, January 24, 2010
(Updated 3:00 am)

I have a confession to make: I am a "behind-the-times, anti-science, flat-earth climate skeptic."

These are the terms British Prime Minister Gordon Brown used last month, on the eve of the Copenhagen climate confab, to describe those of us who decline to participate in the mass-hysteria popularly known as "global warming" or "climate change."

The Associated Press, hardly a bastion of disbelievers, has noted that some climate change enthusiasts show "a stunning disdain for global warming skeptics." Prime Minster Brown also told The Guardian newspaper, "We know the science. We know what we must do." Apparently, what the self-appointed saviors of the planet must do is fly to Copenhagen aboard 140 private jets, then motor around Copenhagen in 1,200 limousines. These numbers were reported by The London Telegraph. Diminishing one's "carbon footprint" is a task confined to the lowly masses. The anointed, gathered in Copenhagen, intend to "save the planet," but not if it means sharing aircraft with smelly commoners.

What irks the prime minister and his fellow climate change disciples is the Flat Earth Society's stubborn insistence upon sound evidence and our desire for an open debate on the merits of global warming theology. The science, according to the hysterics, is "settled." In their view, "consensus" in the scientific community means there is no need to debate the matter. The time is now, they insist, for decisive action.

Presumably as a result of the "consensus," Al Gore, the high priest of global warming, refuses to debate the matter. (John Stossel is the latest challenger to be ignored.) When William Kovacs, a senior vice president at the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, recently suggested that we hold public hearings to "put the science of climate change on trial," the Environmental Protection Agency scoffed at the idea as a "waste of time." Carl Pope, executive director of the Sierra Club, said the Chamber was "making a fool of itself." But if the evidence in support of man-made climate change is so overwhelming, why do Gore and his disciples refuse to debate?

Granted, the global warming phenomenon is a convenient target for the contrarian and the curmudgeon. There is a masochistic pleasure to be taken in swimming against the (perilously rising!) tide, and in countering whatever passion becomes the latest fashion. The topic is worth addressing on those grounds alone; still, the case for global warming is decidedly flimsy.

* First, consider the meaning (and limited ramifications) of "consensus," which Webster's defines as "solidarity of opinion," or "general agreement or harmony." There is some question as to whether there is a consensus on global warming among scientists. In 2008, 31,000 scientists signed a petition rejecting the claims of man-made global warming. Of course, consensus does not mean absolute agreement.

* Second, even if we concede that the alleged consensus exists, that is not sufficient grounds to stifle debate on climate change. Opinion polls reveal, for instance, a consensus among the American people in opposition to gay marriage. Yet we continue to debate the matter, and this is as it should be: we live in a republic, not a pure democracy. Consensus may be sufficient cause for action in the "international community," but Americans are more sophisticated, thoughtful and nuanced; we do not bow to mere majority rule.

* Third, the action encouraged by the saviors of the planet (primarily, a reduction in carbon dioxide emissions) will do nothing to alleviate climate change. Carbon dioxide, the alleged sinister force behind global warming, is probably not the cause of rising temperatures -- and there is dispute as to whether temperatures are rising.

Historical records reveal that temperatures rise first, and carbon dioxide levels increase later. The climate change alarmists have it backwards: higher temperatures increase carbon dioxide, not vice-versa. If the planet is warming, carbon dioxide levels will increase, no matter what economy-crushing policies we enact. Warming and cooling has taken place for millennia, and will for many more, regardless of human activity. The most likely cause of those alternating cycles, according to scientists David Legates and Willie Soon, is the sun. There is a direct correlation between temperatures on Earth and sun-spot activity.

Perhaps an entrepreneur, sensing an opportunity, will print T-shirts, coffee mugs and bumper stickers emblazoned with Prime Minister Brown's characterization of global warming skeptics. They could be issued to naysayers as modern versions of the "scarlet letter."

Imagine the horrified reactions from your fellow pedestrians as you stroll through the nearest university campus, sporting a black T-shirt adorned with bold, red letters proclaiming: BEHIND-THE-TIMES, ANTI-SCIENCE, FLAT-EARTH CLIMATE SKEPTIC. As the commercials say, "Priceless."

Charles Davenport Jr. (cdavenportjr@hotmail.com) writes a monthly column for the News & Record.

Comments

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left-wing conspiracy theorist

January 24, 2010 - 7:57 am EST

"I have a confession to make: I am a 'behind-the-times, anti-science, flat-earth climate skeptic'."

I KNEW it!

http://theflatearthsociety.org/cms/

http://www.alaska.net/~clund/e_djublonskopf/Flatearthsociety.htm

Panacea

January 24, 2010 - 8:43 am EST

Yeah, I know what you mean. When I read that, my response was, "No! Really?" *sarcasm*

Panacea

January 24, 2010 - 8:58 am EST

Mr. Davenport, the reason there is no need to "debate" climate change is because you are confusing how scientists come to consensus and how politicians come to consensus. Scientific consensus is not an issue of debating ideology. It's about looking at the facts and studies, and determining that the scientific evidence supports a particular conclusion. In this case, decades of research on climate changes through weather patterns over time, sea level rise, loss of glaciers and polar ice, etc show convincingly that Man's impact on the planet is changing our climate profoundly, and that if we don't do something, we will deal with consequences that will have profound political, social, and economic impact.

Your "points" miss the point of science. Scientists are not interested in discussing an idea until everyone agrees with it. Some scientists will continue to disagree with evidence, and that's OK in science. Scientists are interested in learning what is true, by making observations and conducting experiments. But data is not subject to majority rule. Scientists don't vote on what the truth is. They look at the evidence, and when it supports a conclusion they accept it.

Your discussion of what consensus is works in politics, not in science. You miss the point of science.

Your claim that reducing carbon emissions will not help, and your dismissal of evidence of global warming is not factually based. You can't dismiss the data on the one hand, and then claim the data leads to another conclusion.

Mr. Davenport you clearly do not understand how science works. Rather, you cling to conclusions by scientists that are not generally accepted, with no understanding of their work or what it means. I'm not saying the guys you cite are wrong. I'm saying YOU do not understand their work, and are using it to further your political views just beause they happen to agree with you.

You're not a skeptic, Mr. Davenport. If you were a skeptic, you would leave room for additional evidence to change your mind. Skeptics, true skeptics, are open minded. You've made up your mind. You're not a skeptic, you are a denier.

If I saw you wearing a t shirt such as you described, my reaction would pity not horror.

Sawdust

January 24, 2010 - 12:09 pm EST

I learned something today; that science depends on 'consensus'. And all along I thought that science depends on proof.

dcolin

January 24, 2010 - 1:28 pm EST

You are correct but over simplify.

Peer Review.

Which is peer consensus/or disagreement

It is complicated.

Even Newton was wrong.

Einstein fixed it. And much of it is debatable

Proof continues to require review.
consensus of the best qualified minds is important.

Sawdust

January 25, 2010 - 9:55 am EST

When that consensus is based on falsified data, it is worth exactly as much as an Obama campaign promise. It and a dollar will get you a Micky-D double cheeseburger.

left-wing conspiracy theorist

January 24, 2010 - 3:11 pm EST

Well, duh!

My votes for helio-centrism, evolution, round earth, and gravity cancels out all of Davenport's votes.

Sawdust

January 25, 2010 - 9:44 am EST

I see that Dr. Murari Lal, the Indian (not Injun) scientist who added to the AGW hysteria by claiming that Himilayan glaciers were disappearing, has admitted that he falsified the data for political purposes. http://planetgore.nationalreview.com/

It seems that the glaciers in question are not really disappearing, they just threw that in to "highlight" the non-existant problem.

Whodathunkit? A scientist falsifying data for political purposes? Say it ain't so, Algore.

cdavenportjr

January 24, 2010 - 11:28 am EST

Panacea, the leaked e-mails of a couple of months ago demonstrate the fact that at least some scientists are motivated by ideology. In regard to "consensus": Since there was a concensus in the 1970s that we're heading into another Ice Age, and there's consensus on "warming" today, I'm confused: Should I heed the initial consensus and stock up on parkas, gloves, and mittens, or heed the modern concensus and stockpile Bermuda shorts and flip-flops? This concensus conflict creates a bit of cognitive dissonance; most importantly, it complicates the decision-making process in regard to my wardrobe. But this much is settled: The t-shirt I described would make a striking (anti-) fashion statement.

JGALT

January 24, 2010 - 1:09 pm EST

There was a scientific consensus that the sun revolves around the earth. A more recent revelation was that the Himalaya glaciers were about to disappear. Now it comes out that that was a an incorrect, misinterpretation of the study by the same "scientists" that subvert contrary data and composed those leaked emails.

left-wing conspiracy theorist

January 24, 2010 - 3:03 pm EST

"I'm confused: Should I heed the initial consensus and stock up on parkas, gloves, and mittens, or heed the modern concensus and stockpile Bermuda shorts and flip-flops?"

See, with global warming the ice caps and glaciers will continue to melt, which result in a rise in ocean levels as well as a decrease in their salinity, which will greatly affect the currents such as the gulf stream, which brings warm water (and temperatures) to higher latitudes. I will be heading to Belize, and you, my friend, are free to wear Bermuda shorts and flip-flops.

Panacea

January 24, 2010 - 6:49 pm EST

It is unfortunate that some data was manipulated. Scientists are human beings, and sometimes do things they shouldn't. There is no question this incident has hurt the credibility of climatologists in general.

However, the vast majority of data collected still supports global warming.

Sawdust

January 25, 2010 - 9:48 am EST

The vast majority collected says that rises in CO2 have historically followed rising temperatures, not the other way around. Of course, Algore can't get rich by pedalling that line.

dcolin

January 24, 2010 - 1:20 pm EST

It is important to recognize that Mr Davenport is a college drop out.
It was boring. As him.

He is simply not qualified to reach scientific conclusions.

"Third, the action encouraged by the saviors of the planet (primarily, a reduction in carbon dioxide emissions) will do nothing to alleviate climate change. Carbon dioxide, the alleged sinister force behind global warming, is probably not the cause of rising temperatures"

This sounds like a conclusion to me.

Sawdust

January 25, 2010 - 12:27 pm EST

It is also important to remember that much of the data used to bolster claims of agw was falsified, and other data refuting those claims was ignored. Cap and trade, if enacted as law, will have a negative effect on our economy, increasing the price of everything. To me, that's a stupid move, at least until the conclusions are based on non-falsified data, and until even the data that contradicts the agw crowd are considered. But then, stupid moves seem to be the specialty of this administration, one reason the approval numbers are dropping faster than Bill Clinton's trousers.

dcolin

February 2, 2010 - 1:39 pm EST

From yet another drop out.

ejnichol

February 6, 2010 - 12:26 pm EST

.....

ejnichol

February 6, 2010 - 12:27 pm EST

Bill Gates is a college dropout. Your point?

Get A Clue

January 25, 2010 - 7:03 am EST

I wish I worked for the News&Record. So many of their staff get pay and benefits for blathering on about anything. Sigh.

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