Mark Martin worries about what he faces. Forget racing for a championship, it's the fight to get into the Chase that has Martin — and other drivers — uptight heading into the final five races before the Chase field is set.
"The race to make the Chase is definitely more stressful when you're in that position than the race for the championship," said Martin, who enters today's race at Watkins Glen 10th in the points. "You're fighting and scratching to even have a chance."
Greg Biffle enters today's race 12th in points, holding what will be the last transfer spot to the Chase. He leads 13th-place Kyle Busch by 101 points.
Busch still has a chance. Mark Martin was 123 points out at this point and made the inaugural Chase in 2004.
Matt Kenseth was 168 points back with five races to go in 2005 and qualified for the Chase. Busch is one of four drivers within that threshold of 12th this season.
What will happen before the field is set after next month's race at Richmond?
KASEY KAHNE
Points position: Seventh
Points ahead of 13th: 180
Streaking or sliding: Streaking. Five top-10s in his last six races. Gained eight spots in points during that time.
Prospects: Bristol is his best track among the five remaining before the Chase. Has struggled at Michigan. Gets through there, he should be fine.
Makes Chase or not: Makes it. Surge by Kahne's team makes him somebody to watch once Chase begins.
JUAN PABLO MONTOYA
Points position: Eighth
Points ahead of 13th: 169
Streaking or sliding: Streaking. Has placed in the top 12 in nine of the last 10 races, gaining six spots in the points standings.
Prospects: Best track, based on recent performances, is Bristol. Can't afford to be close to 12th going into Richmond where his results haven't been as good.
Makes Chase or not: Only way he won't make it is if the wheels literally fall off the car in the next few races.
RYAN NEWMAN
Points position: Ninth
Points ahead of 13th: 165
Streaking or sliding: Sliding. One top-10 result in the last seven races, causing him to fall five spots in the standings.
Prospects: If it's close, he's good at Richmond (12.0 average finish last five races) and that could determine his Chase hopes.
Makes Chase or not: Can't afford to let recent slide continue, but should make the Chase.
MARK MARTIN
Points position: 10th
Points ahead of 13th: 160
Streaking or sliding: Streaking. Three top-10s in the last three races and has led more than one-third of all laps run during that stretch.
Prospects: Watkins Glen (10.0 average finish in last five races) and Richmond (10.2) are best tracks among those before Chase. Atlanta (25.6) could cause problems.
Makes Chase or not: If he can avoid the problems that plagued him earlier this season, he makes the Chase.
MATT KENSETH
Points position: 11th
Points ahead of 13th: 102
Streaking or sliding: Streaking. Three top-10s in the last four races, but still fell a spot in the points standings.
Prospects: Fantastic at Atlanta (6.2 average finish in last five races) and solid at Watkins Glen and Michigan.
Makes Chase or not: Has not missed a Chase since its debut in 2004. For streak to continue, he needs to be better than he has the last few weeks. Signs point to that happening.
GREG BIFFLE
Points position: 12th
Points ahead of 13th: 101
Streaking or sliding: Sliding. Only two top-15 finishes in last six races. Has led one lap during that span.
Prospects: Watkins Glen (28.4 average finish in last five races) is his worst track of those left before the Chase.
Makes Chase or not: Hopes rest on how well he and his team handle the pressure of making the Chase.
KYLE BUSCH
Points position: 13th
Points behind 12th: 101
Streaking or sliding: Sliding. One top-10 in the last nine races and has fallen seven spots in the points standings since.
Prospects: Bristol, Richmond and Michigan are all strong tracks for him.
Makes Chase or not: For as potent as he and his team can be, it's hard to imagine him not making the Chase. Yet, he'll need others in front of him to have some issues.
BRIAN VICKERS
Points position: 14th
Points behind 12th: 104
Streaking or sliding: Streaking. Thomasville youngster has finished seventh or better in each of last four races, climbing three spots in the points.
Prospects: Should be good at Michigan and Atlanta, but often struggles at Bristol and Richmond.
Makes Chase or not: If he can continue recent streak, he has a good chance, but he can't afford any hiccups.
CLINT BOWYER
Points position: 15th
Points behind 12th: 115
Streaking or sliding: Streaking. Two top-10s in last three races and six top-15 finishes in the last nine races.
Prospects: Strong lately at Bristol, Atlanta and Richmond.
Makes Chase or not: Might be too far back. Needs a few top-five finishes to have a chance.
DAVID REUTIMANN
Points position: 16th
Points behind 12th: 121
Streaking or sliding: Sliding. Has three top-10s in the nine races since his Coca-Cola 600 win.
Prospects: Recent results at upcoming tracks before the Chase don't provide the most hope.
Makes Chase or not: Team has made great strides, but may have to settle for that and hope for Chase appearance next year.
Contact Dustin Long at 373-7062 or dustin.long@news-record.com
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